Forsa poll of 21 January 2021 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- Ostsee-Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 15 Jan 2021
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD26.0%+7.0
- CDU24.0%+4.0
- Linke16.0%+2.0
- AfD14.0%-5.0
- Grüne10.0%-3.0
- FDP3.0%-2.0
- Others7.0%-3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Jan 2020.
In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU on 24.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 12 to 15 Jan 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Ostsee-Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Jan 2020, SPD gains 7.0 points, AfD loses 5.0 points, CDU gains 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Linke 4.0 points higher and CDU 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Jan 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +4.0average 12.0
- CDU -3.0average 27.0
- SPD -1.0average 27.0
- AfD -1.0average 15.0
- Grüne ±0average 10.0
- FDP ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD20
- CDU19
- Linke13
- AfD11
- Grüne8
- SPD + CDU39 of 71
- SPD + Linke + AfD44 of 71
- CDU + Linke + AfD43 of 71
- SPD + Linke + Grüne41 of 71
- CDU + Linke + Grüne40 of 71
- SPD + AfD + Grüne39 of 71
- CDU + AfD + Grüne38 of 71
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.