Single poll

Forsa poll of 17 January 2019 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
Ostsee-Zeitung
Fieldwork period
4 to 11 Jan 2019
Respondents
1,007
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD22.0%-3.0
  • CDU22.0%+4.0
  • AfD18.0%-4.0
  • Linke16.0%±0
  • Grüne10.0%+2.0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • Others8.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Jun 2018.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 22.0%, followed by CDU on 22.0%. 1,007 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Jan 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Ostsee-Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Jun 2018, CDU gains 4.0 points, AfD loses 4.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points.

Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 18 seatsCDU: 18 seatsAfD: 14 seatsLinke: 13 seatsGrüne: 8 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • SPD18
  • CDU18
  • AfD14
  • Linke13
  • Grüne8
  • SPD + CDU36 of 71
  • SPD + AfD + Linke45 of 71
  • CDU + AfD + Linke45 of 71
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne40 of 71
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne40 of 71
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne39 of 71
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne39 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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