Forsa poll of 2 September 2026 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- Ostsee-Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 27 Aug 2026
- Respondents
- 1,047
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD37.0%±0
- SPD28.0%+5.0
- Linke11.0%±0
- CDU10.0%-3.0
- Grüne5.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 Feb 2026.
In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 28.0%. 1,047 people were surveyed from 21 to 27 Aug 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Ostsee-Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 Feb 2026, SPD gains 5.0 points, CDU loses 3.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.0average 36.0
- SPD -1.0average 29.0
- Linke -0.5average 11.5
- CDU +0.5average 9.5
- Grüne ±0average 5.0
- BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD29
- SPD22
- Linke8
- CDU8
- Grüne4
- AfD + SPD51 of 71
- AfD + Linke37 of 71
- AfD + CDU37 of 71
- SPD + Linke + CDU38 of 71
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.