Single poll
Forsa poll of 19 February 2026 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- Ostsee-Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 16 Feb 2026
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 9 to 16 Feb 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Ostsee-Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Feb 2025, AfD gains 8.0 points, BSW loses 4.0 points, CDU loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.0 points higher and SPD 2.0 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.0average 35.0
- SPD -2.0average 25.0
- Linke -1.0average 12.0
- BSW -1.0average 6.0
- CDU ±0average 13.0
- Grüne ±0average 4.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD30
- SPD18
- CDU10
- Linke9
- BSW4
- AfD + SPD48 of 71
- AfD + CDU40 of 71
- AfD + Linke39 of 71
- SPD + CDU + Linke37 of 71
More
More polls
← Forsa, 7 Feb 2025Forsa, 2 Sep 2026 →Average of all pollsters: Mecklenburg-Western PomeraniaSunday question Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania2025 federal election in Mecklenburg-Western PomeraniaChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.