Forsa poll of 7 February 2025 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- Ostsee-Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Jan 2025 to 3 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 1,004
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD29.0%+4.0
- SPD21.0%+1.0
- CDU16.0%-3.0
- BSW9.0%-5.0
- Linke8.0%+2.0
- Grüne7.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 May 2024.
In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 28 Jan 2025 to 3 Feb 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Ostsee-Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 May 2024, BSW loses 5.0 points, AfD gains 4.0 points, CDU loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has BSW 4.0 points lower and CDU 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -4.0average 13.0
- CDU -2.0average 18.0
- Linke +2.0average 6.0
- Grüne +1.5average 5.5
- AfD +0.5average 28.5
- SPD -0.5average 21.5
- FDP +0.5average 2.5
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD23
- SPD17
- CDU13
- BSW7
- Linke6
- Grüne5
- AfD + SPD40 of 71
- AfD + CDU36 of 71
- SPD + CDU + BSW37 of 71
- AfD + BSW + Linke36 of 71
- SPD + CDU + Linke36 of 71
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.