Single poll

Forsa poll of 18 January 2018 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
Ostsee-Zeitung
Fieldwork period
2 to 11 Jan 2018
Respondents
1,001
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD28.0%
  • CDU20.0%
  • AfD19.0%
  • Linke15.0%
  • FDP5.0%
  • Grüne5.0%
  • Others8.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU on 20.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 2 to 11 Jan 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Ostsee-Zeitung.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 3.5 points lower and CDU 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jan 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -3.5average 31.5
  • CDU -2.0average 22.0
  • AfD -1.5average 20.5
  • Linke +1.5average 13.5
  • FDP +1.5average 3.5
  • Grüne +0.5average 4.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 22 seatsAfD: 15 seatsCDU: 15 seatsLinke: 11 seatsFDP: 4 seatsGrüne: 4 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • SPD22
  • AfD15
  • CDU15
  • Linke11
  • FDP4
  • Grüne4
  • SPD + AfD37 of 71
  • SPD + CDU37 of 71
  • AfD + CDU + Linke41 of 71
  • SPD + Linke + FDP37 of 71
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne37 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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