North Rhine-Westphalia state election 2022: the result
In the North Rhine-Westphalia state election on 15 May 2022, CDU became the largest party with 35.7%, 9 points ahead of SPD (26.7%). CDU and Grüne have governed since then; how the alliance stands in the polls today is shown on the page with the current election polls.
- Biggest move since 2017Grüne +11.8 · FDP −6.7 · SPD −4.5
- Failed to clear the thresholdLinke (2.1%), Piraten (0.3%)
- GovernmentCDU + Grüne: 106 of 181 seats (projected)
- Polls one week beforeoff by 2.4 points per party on average, CDU underestimated by 5.7
- Statusofficial final result
Result of the 2022 state election
Shares in percent, change on the election of 14 May 2017 in points. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.
- CDU35.7%+2.7
- SPD26.7%-4.5
- Grüne18.2%+11.8
- FDP5.9%-6.7
- AfD5.4%-2.0
- Linke2.1%-2.8
- Piraten0.3%-0.7
- Others5.7%+2.2
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the 2017 election.
| Party | 2022 | 2017 | Change | Seats (projected) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christlich Demokratische Union | 35.7% | 33.0% | +2.7 | 70 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 26.7% | 31.2% | -4.5 | 52 |
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | 18.2% | 6.4% | +11.8 | 36 |
| Freie Demokratische Partei | 5.9% | 12.6% | -6.7 | 12 |
| Alternative für Deutschland | 5.4% | 7.4% | -2.0 | 11 |
| Die Linke | 2.1% | 4.9% | -2.8 | – |
| Piratenpartei | 0.3% | 1.0% | -0.7 | – |
| Others | 5.7% | 3.5% | +2.2 | – |
Source: state returning officer, compiled via wahlrecht.de. Seats projected by Sainte-Laguë/Schepers on 181 regular seats, without overhang and compensatory seats. JSON · CSV
Seat distribution in the Landtag of North Rhine-Westphalia after the 2022 result
181 regular seats by Sainte-Laguë/Schepers. Electoral threshold of 5%. The actual size of the parliament may differ due to overhang and compensatory seats.
- CDU70
- SPD52
- Grüne36
- FDP12
- AfD11
Which alliances had a majority after the 2022 election
All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority; the coalition actually formed is highlighted.
- CDU + SPD122 of 181
- CDU + GrüneGovernment106 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + FDP100 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD99 of 181
- CDU + FDP + AfD93 of 181
The polls in the last 30 days before the 2022 state election
15 polls between 17 Apr 2022 and 13 May 2022, each one available individually.
| Pollster | Published | CDU | SPD | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | Piraten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 13 May 2022 | 31 | 28 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 4 | – |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 13 May 2022 | 33 | 28.5 | 16.5 | 6 | 6.5 | 3 | – |
| Civey | 12 May 2022 | 32 | 29 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 3 | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12 May 2022 | 32 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 3 | – |
| INSA | 12 May 2022 | 32 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 3 | – |
| INSA | 10 May 2022 | 31 | 29 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 3 | – |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 6 May 2022 | 30 | 29.5 | 16.5 | 9 | 7 | 2.5 | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 6 May 2022 | 30 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 3 | – |
| Infratest dimap | 5 May 2022 | 30 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 3 | – |
| Forsa | 4 May 2022 | 32 | 28 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 3 | – |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 2 May 2022 | 30.5 | 31 | 16.5 | 9 | 6 | 2.5 | – |
| Infratest dimap | 24 Apr 2022 | 31 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 3 | – |
| Civey | 22 Apr 2022 | 29 | 30 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 2 | – |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 22 Apr 2022 | 31 | 31.5 | 15 | 6.5 | 7.5 | 2.5 | – |
| INSA | 17 Apr 2022 | 29 | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 4 | – |
Who came closest before the 2022 election?
Deviation of each pollster's last poll from the result, by party in points. Ranked by mean absolute deviation.
| Pollster | Poll dated | CDU | SPD | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result 15 May 2022 | 35.7% | 26.7% | 18.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.1% | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 13 May 2022 (2 days before) | -2.7 | +1.8 | -1.7 | +0.1 | +1.1 | +0.9 | 1.4 |
| Forsa | 4 May 2022 (11 days before) | -3.7 | +1.3 | -1.2 | +1.1 | +0.6 | +0.9 | 1.5 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12 May 2022 (3 days before) | -3.7 | +2.3 | -1.2 | +0.1 | +1.6 | +0.9 | 1.6 |
| Civey | 12 May 2022 (3 days before) | -3.7 | +2.3 | -2.2 | +1.1 | +1.6 | +0.9 | 2.0 |
| INSA | 12 May 2022 (3 days before) | -3.7 | +1.3 | -2.2 | +2.1 | +1.6 | +0.9 | 2.0 |
| Infratest dimap | 5 May 2022 (10 days before) | -5.7 | +1.3 | -2.2 | +2.1 | +2.6 | +0.9 | 2.5 |
| YouGov | 13 May 2022 (2 days before) | -4.7 | +1.3 | -3.2 | +4.1 | +1.6 | +1.9 | 2.8 |
Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.