North Rhine-Westphalia state election 2022: the result
In the North Rhine-Westphalia state election on 15 May 2022, CDU became the largest party with 35.7%, 9 points ahead of SPD (26.7%). CDU and Grüne have governed since then; how the alliance stands in the polls today is shown on the page with the current election polls.
- Biggest move since 2017
- Grüne +11.8 · FDP −6.7 · SPD −4.5
- Failed to clear the threshold
- Linke (2.1%), Piraten (0.3%)
- Government
- CDU + Grüne: 115 of 195 seats
- Polls one week before
- off by 2.4 points per party on average, CDU underestimated by 5.7
- Turnout
- 55.5%
- Status
- official final result
Result of the 2022 state election
Turnout in the North Rhine-Westphalia state election on 15 May 2022 was 55.5%. The Landtag of North Rhine-Westphalia has 195 seats; a majority needs 98.
Shares in percent, change on the election of 14 May 2017 in points. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.
| Party | Votes 2022 (%) | 2017 (%) | Change | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christlich Demokratische Union | 35.7% | 33.0% | +2.7 | 76 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 26.7% | 31.2% | -4.5 | 56 |
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | 18.2% | 6.4% | +11.8 | 39 |
| Freie Demokratische Partei | 5.9% | 12.6% | -6.7 | 12 |
| Alternative für Deutschland | 5.4% | 7.4% | -2.0 | 12 |
| Die Linke | 2.1% | 4.9% | -2.8 | – |
| Piratenpartei | 0.3% | 1.0% | -0.7 | – |
| Others | 5.7% | 3.5% | +2.2 | – |
Source: state returning officer, compiled via wahlrecht.de. Official seats, 195 in total including overhang and compensatory seats. JSON · CSV
Seat distribution in the Landtag of North Rhine-Westphalia after the 2022 result
195 seats by the official result, including overhang and compensatory seats. Electoral threshold of 5%.
- CDU76
- SPD56
- Grüne39
- FDP12
- AfD12
Which alliances had a majority after the 2022 election
All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority; the coalition actually formed is highlighted.
- CDU + SPD132 of 195
- CDU + GrüneGovernment115 of 195
- SPD + Grüne + FDP107 of 195
- SPD + Grüne + AfD107 of 195
- CDU + FDP + AfD100 of 195
The polls in the last 30 days before the 2022 state election
15 polls between 17 Apr 2022 and 13 May 2022, each one available individually.
| Pollster | Published | CDU | SPD | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | Piraten | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 13 May 2022 | 31 | 28 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 4 | – | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 13 May 2022 | 33 | 28.5 | 16.5 | 6 | 6.5 | 3 | – | ||
| Civey | 12 May 2022 | 32 | 29 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 3 | – | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12 May 2022 | 32 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 3 | – | ||
| INSA | 12 May 2022 | 32 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 3 | – | ||
| INSA | 10 May 2022 | 31 | 29 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 3 | – | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 6 May 2022 | 30 | 29.5 | 16.5 | 9 | 7 | 2.5 | – | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 6 May 2022 | 30 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 3 | – | ||
| Infratest dimap | 5 May 2022 | 30 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 3 | – | ||
| Forsa | 4 May 2022 | 32 | 28 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 3 | – | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 2 May 2022 | 30.5 | 31 | 16.5 | 9 | 6 | 2.5 | – | ||
| Infratest dimap | 24 Apr 2022 | 31 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 3 | – | ||
| Civey | 22 Apr 2022 | 29 | 30 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 2 | – | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 22 Apr 2022 | 31 | 31.5 | 15 | 6.5 | 7.5 | 2.5 | – | ||
| INSA | 17 Apr 2022 | 29 | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 4 | – | ||
| Min – Max | 29–33 | 28–31.5 | 14–18 | 6–10 | 6–8 | 2–4 | – | |||
For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.
Who came closest before the 2022 election?
Deviation of each pollster's last poll from the result, by party in points. Ranked by mean absolute deviation.
| Pollster | Poll dated | CDU | SPD | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result 15 May 2022 | 35.7% | 26.7% | 18.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.1% | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 13 May 2022 (2 days before) | -2.7 | +1.8 | -1.7 | +0.1 | +1.1 | +0.9 | 1.4 |
| Forsa | 4 May 2022 (11 days before) | -3.7 | +1.3 | -1.2 | +1.1 | +0.6 | +0.9 | 1.5 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12 May 2022 (3 days before) | -3.7 | +2.3 | -1.2 | +0.1 | +1.6 | +0.9 | 1.6 |
| Civey | 12 May 2022 (3 days before) | -3.7 | +2.3 | -2.2 | +1.1 | +1.6 | +0.9 | 2.0 |
| INSA | 12 May 2022 (3 days before) | -3.7 | +1.3 | -2.2 | +2.1 | +1.6 | +0.9 | 2.0 |
| Infratest dimap | 5 May 2022 (10 days before) | -5.7 | +1.3 | -2.2 | +2.1 | +2.6 | +0.9 | 2.5 |
| YouGov | 13 May 2022 (2 days before) | -4.7 | +1.3 | -3.2 | +4.1 | +1.6 | +1.9 | 2.8 |
Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.