Single poll
INSA poll of 12 May 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 10 May 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU32.0%+1.0
- SPD28.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- AfD7.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
32.0%
+1.0
CDU
28.0%
-1.0
SPD
16.0%
±0
Grüne
8.0%
±0
FDP
7.0%
±0
AfD
3.0%
±0
Linke
6.0%
±0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 May 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 28.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 9 to 10 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 May 2022, CDU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +1.4average 30.6
- SPD -0.9average 28.9
- Grüne -0.7average 16.7
- Linke +0.3average 2.7
- FDP +0.2average 7.8
- AfD ±0average 7.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU63
- SPD56
- Grüne32
- FDP16
- AfD14
- CDU + SPD119 of 181
- CDU + Grüne95 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + FDP104 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD102 of 181
- CDU + FDP + AfD93 of 181
More
More polls
← INSA, 10 May 2022INSA, 25 Aug 2022 →Average of all pollsters: North Rhine-WestphaliaChronicle 2022
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.