Single poll
INSA poll of 10 May 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 9 May 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU31.0%+2.0
- SPD29.0%-2.0
- Grüne16.0%+2.0
- FDP8.0%-2.0
- AfD7.0%±0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
31.0%
+2.0
CDU
29.0%
-2.0
SPD
16.0%
+2.0
Grüne
8.0%
-2.0
FDP
7.0%
±0
AfD
3.0%
-1.0
Linke
6.0%
+1.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Apr 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 29.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 2 to 9 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Apr 2022, CDU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -0.9average 16.9
- CDU +0.7average 30.3
- Linke +0.3average 2.7
- AfD +0.2average 6.8
- SPD ±0average 29.0
- FDP ±0average 8.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU61
- SPD58
- Grüne32
- FDP16
- AfD14
- CDU + SPD119 of 181
- CDU + Grüne93 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + FDP106 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD104 of 181
- CDU + FDP + AfD91 of 181
More
More polls
← INSA, 17 Apr 2022INSA, 12 May 2022 →Average of all pollsters: North Rhine-WestphaliaChronicle 2022
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.