Single poll

INSA poll of 17 April 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
11 to 13 Apr 2022
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • SPD31.0%+1.0
  • CDU29.0%+1.0
  • Grüne14.0%-1.0
  • FDP10.0%±0
  • AfD7.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Apr 2022.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 31.0%, followed by CDU on 29.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 11 to 13 Apr 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Apr 2022, SPD gains 1.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.8 points lower and FDP 2.2 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -2.8average 16.8
  • FDP +2.2average 7.8
  • Linke +1.0average 3.0
  • AfD +0.7average 6.3
  • CDU -0.5average 29.5
  • SPD ±0average 31.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 61 seatsCDU: 58 seatsGrüne: 28 seatsFDP: 20 seatsAfD: 14 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • SPD61
  • CDU58
  • Grüne28
  • FDP20
  • AfD14
  • SPD + CDU119 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP109 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP106 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD103 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD100 of 181
  • SPD + FDP + AfD95 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + AfD92 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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