INSA poll of 5 April 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Mar 2022 to 4 Apr 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- SPD30.0%+1.0
- CDU28.0%+1.0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- FDP10.0%-2.0
- AfD7.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Feb 2022.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 28.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 28 Mar 2022 to 4 Apr 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Feb 2022, FDP loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 3.2 points lower and FDP 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -3.2average 31.2
- FDP +1.5average 8.5
- Grüne -0.8average 15.8
- AfD +0.8average 6.2
- Linke +0.8average 3.2
- SPD +0.7average 29.3
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD61
- CDU56
- Grüne30
- FDP20
- AfD14
- SPD + CDU117 of 181
- SPD + Grüne91 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + FDP106 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + AfD100 of 181
- SPD + FDP + AfD95 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.