Single poll

INSA poll of 20 February 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
15 to 17 Feb 2022
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD29.0%+1.0
  • CDU27.0%+1.0
  • Grüne14.0%±0
  • FDP12.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others6.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Feb 2022.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU on 27.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 15 to 17 Feb 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Feb 2022, SPD gains 1.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 2.3 points higher and Grüne 2.2 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +2.3average 9.7
  • Grüne -2.2average 16.2
  • CDU -1.7average 28.7
  • SPD +0.7average 28.3
  • AfD +0.3average 7.7
  • Linke +0.3average 3.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 59 seatsCDU: 54 seatsGrüne: 28 seatsFDP: 24 seatsAfD: 16 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • SPD59
  • CDU54
  • Grüne28
  • FDP24
  • AfD16
  • SPD + CDU113 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP111 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP106 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD103 of 181
  • SPD + FDP + AfD99 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD98 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + AfD94 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.