INSA poll of 3 February 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 24 Jan 2022 to 2 Feb 2022
- Respondents
- 2,000
- Method
- Online
- SPD28.0%-5.0
- CDU26.0%+6.0
- Grüne14.0%+1.0
- FDP12.0%-3.0
- AfD8.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Oct 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 2,000 people were surveyed from 24 Jan 2022 to 2 Feb 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Oct 2021, CDU gains 6.0 points, SPD loses 5.0 points, FDP loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.3 points lower and Grüne 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -2.3average 28.3
- Grüne -1.8average 15.8
- FDP +1.0average 11.0
- SPD +0.7average 27.3
- Linke +0.3average 3.7
- AfD ±0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD58
- CDU53
- Grüne29
- FDP25
- AfD16
- SPD + CDU111 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + FDP112 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + FDP107 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD103 of 181
- SPD + FDP + AfD99 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + AfD98 of 181
- CDU + FDP + AfD94 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.