Single poll
INSA poll of 12 October 2021 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- State
- North Rhine-Westphalia
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 11 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Oct 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 May 2021, SPD gains 13.0 points, Grüne loses 13.0 points, CDU loses 5.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 14.5 points higher and Grüne 13.0 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +14.5average 18.5
- Grüne -13.0average 26.0
- CDU -6.5average 26.5
- FDP +3.5average 11.5
- AfD +0.5average 7.5
- Linke +0.5average 3.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD67
- CDU41
- FDP31
- Grüne26
- AfD16
- SPD + CDU108 of 181
- SPD + FDP98 of 181
- SPD + Grüne93 of 181
- CDU + FDP + Grüne98 of 181
More
More polls
← INSA, 11 May 2021INSA, 3 Feb 2022 →Average of all pollsters: North Rhine-WestphaliaSunday question North Rhine-Westphalia2025 federal election in North Rhine-WestphaliaChronicle 2021
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.