INSA poll of 11 May 2021 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 10 May 2021
- Respondents
- 2,014
- Method
- Online
- Grüne26.0%+7.0
- CDU25.0%-8.0
- SPD20.0%-3.0
- FDP11.0%+3.0
- AfD9.0%+1.0
- Linke4.5%-0.5
- Others4.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Oct 2020.
In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU on 25.0%. 2,014 people were surveyed from 3 to 10 May 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Oct 2020, CDU loses 8.0 points, Grüne gains 7.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 3.0 points lower and SPD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -3.0average 28.0
- SPD +2.0average 18.0
- Linke +1.5average 3.0
- AfD +1.0average 8.0
- Grüne ±0average 26.0
- FDP ±0average 11.0
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- Grüne51
- CDU50
- SPD40
- FDP22
- AfD18
- Grüne + CDU101 of 181
- Grüne + SPD91 of 181
- CDU + SPD + FDP112 of 181
- CDU + SPD + AfD108 of 181
- Grüne + FDP + AfD91 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.