INSA poll of 25 August 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 22 Aug 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU36.0%+4.0
- SPD22.0%-6.0
- Grüne21.0%+5.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- AfD5.0%-2.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 May 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 15 to 22 Aug 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 May 2022, SPD loses 6.0 points, Grüne gains 5.0 points, CDU gains 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 6.3 points lower and Grüne 4.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -6.3average 28.3
- Grüne +4.9average 16.1
- CDU +3.7average 32.3
- AfD -1.8average 6.8
- FDP -0.3average 7.3
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU71
- SPD44
- Grüne42
- FDP14
- AfD10
- CDU + SPD115 of 181
- CDU + Grüne113 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + FDP100 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD96 of 181
- CDU + FDP + AfD95 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.