INSA poll of 3 May 2023 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 24 Apr 2023 to 2 May 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU36.0%±0
- SPD22.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%-4.0
- AfD9.0%+4.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Aug 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 24 Apr 2023 to 2 May 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Aug 2022, Grüne loses 4.0 points, AfD gains 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.0 points lower and SPD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -2.0average 38.0
- SPD +2.0average 20.0
- FDP +2.0average 5.0
- AfD +1.0average 8.0
- Linke -1.0average 4.0
- Grüne ±0average 17.0
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU71
- SPD44
- Grüne34
- AfD18
- FDP14
- CDU + SPD115 of 181
- CDU + Grüne105 of 181
- CDU + AfD + FDP103 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD96 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + FDP92 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.