Single poll
INSA poll of 22 August 2025 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- State
- North Rhine-Westphalia
- Commissioned by
- NIUS
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 19 Aug 2025
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 35.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 13 to 19 Aug 2025, method Online, commissioned by NIUS.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 May 2023, AfD gains 7.0 points, Linke gains 5.0 points, SPD loses 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 3.5 points lower and SPD 1.5 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Aug 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -3.5average 38.5
- SPD +1.5average 16.5
- AfD +1.0average 15.0
- Grüne -1.0average 14.0
- Linke +1.0average 7.0
- FDP +1.0average 3.0
- BSW +0.5average 2.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU71
- SPD36
- AfD32
- Grüne26
- Linke16
- CDU + SPD107 of 181
- CDU + AfD103 of 181
- CDU + Grüne97 of 181
- SPD + AfD + Grüne94 of 181
More
More polls
← INSA, 3 May 2023INSA, 23 Nov 2025 →Average of all pollsters: North Rhine-WestphaliaSunday question North Rhine-Westphalia2025 federal election in North Rhine-WestphaliaChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.