INSA poll of 23 November 2025 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 18 Nov 2025
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU36.0%+1.0
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- AfD16.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Aug 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 11 to 18 Nov 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Aug 2025, CDU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.5 points lower and SPD 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Nov 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -2.5average 38.5
- SPD +2.5average 16.5
- Grüne -2.0average 14.0
- FDP +2.0average 3.0
- AfD +1.0average 15.0
- Linke ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU69
- SPD36
- AfD30
- Grüne23
- Linke13
- FDP10
- CDU + SPD105 of 181
- CDU + AfD99 of 181
- CDU + Grüne92 of 181
- CDU + Linke + FDP92 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.