Single poll
INSA poll of 23 November 2025 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- State
- North Rhine-Westphalia
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 18 Nov 2025
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 11 to 18 Nov 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Aug 2025, CDU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.5 points lower and SPD 2.5 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Nov 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -2.5average 38.5
- SPD +2.5average 16.5
- Grüne -2.0average 14.0
- FDP +2.0average 3.0
- AfD +1.0average 15.0
- Linke ±0average 7.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU69
- SPD36
- AfD30
- Grüne23
- Linke13
- FDP10
- CDU + SPD105 of 181
- CDU + AfD99 of 181
- CDU + Grüne92 of 181
- CDU + Linke + FDP92 of 181
More
More polls
← INSA, 22 Aug 2025INSA, 8 May 2026 →Average of all pollsters: North Rhine-WestphaliaSunday question North Rhine-Westphalia2025 federal election in North Rhine-WestphaliaChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.