INSA poll of 8 May 2026 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Apr 2026 to 5 May 2026
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU34.0%-2.0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- AfD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne15.0%+3.0
- Linke9.0%+2.0
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Others3.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Nov 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 30 Apr 2026 to 5 May 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Nov 2025, Grüne gains 3.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 8 May 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +3.0average 6.0
- SPD +1.0average 17.0
- CDU +0.5average 33.5
- AfD -0.5average 17.5
- FDP +0.5average 3.5
- Grüne ±0average 15.0
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU66
- SPD35
- AfD33
- Grüne29
- Linke18
- CDU + SPD101 of 181
- CDU + AfD99 of 181
- CDU + Grüne95 of 181
- SPD + AfD + Grüne97 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.