Official final result · 14 May 2017

North Rhine-Westphalia state election 2017: the result

In the North Rhine-Westphalia state election on 14 May 2017, CDU became the largest party with 33.0%, 1.8 points ahead of SPD (31.2%).

Failed to clear the threshold
Linke (4.9%), Piraten (1.0%), NPD (0.3%)
Polls one week before
off by 1.9 points per party on average, SPD overestimated by 4.0
Turnout
65.2%
Status
official final result
Votes

Result of the 2017 state election

Turnout in the North Rhine-Westphalia state election on 14 May 2017 was 65.2%. The Landtag of North Rhine-Westphalia has 199 seats; a majority needs 100.

Shares in percent. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.

North Rhine-Westphalia state election 2017: result by party and change
PartyVotes 2017 (%)Seats
Christlich Demokratische Union33.0%72
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands31.2%69
Freie Demokratische Partei12.6%28
Alternative für Deutschland7.4%16
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen6.4%14
Die Linke4.9%–
Piratenpartei1.0%–
Nationaldemokratische Partei Deutschlands0.3%–
Others3.2%–

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

Source: state returning officer, compiled via wahlrecht.de. Official seats, 199 in total including overhang and compensatory seats. JSON · CSV

Official

Seat distribution in the Landtag of North Rhine-Westphalia after the 2017 result

199 seats by the official result, including overhang and compensatory seats. Electoral threshold of 5%.

CDU: 72 seatsSPD: 69 seatsFDP: 28 seatsAfD: 16 seatsGrüne: 14 seatsMajority from 100199of 199 seats
  • CDU72
  • SPD69
  • FDP28
  • AfD16
  • Grüne14
Majorities

Which alliances had a majority after the 2017 election

All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority.

Coalition calculator: tap the parties
Tap parties to test an alliance
CDU: 72 seatsSPD: 69 seatsFDP: 28 seatsAfD: 16 seatsGrüne: 14 seats0/199
Majority from 100 seats
Majorities
Official seats based on the official result, 199 seats, majority from 100.
  • CDU + SPD141 of 199
  • CDU + FDP100 of 199
  • SPD + FDP + AfD113 of 199
  • SPD + FDP + Grüne111 of 199
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne102 of 199
Before the election

The polls in the last 30 days before the 2017 state election

10 polls between 21 Apr 2017 and 12 May 2017, each one available individually.

Polls before the 2017 North Rhine-Westphalia state election
PollsterPublishedCDUSPDFDPAfDGrüneLinkePiratenNPD
Civey12 May 201731.632.512.66.46.45.7––
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen11 May 2017323113.56.56.56––
YouGov11 May 2017313099782–
INSA9 May 2017303313775––
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen5 May 201732321267.56––
Infratest dimap4 May 2017313213875––
Forsa28 Apr 2017293512766––
YouGov25 Apr 20172736711682–
Infratest dimap23 Apr 2017343410865––
Civey21 Apr 201729.7399.28.664.5––
Min – Max27–3430–397–13.56–116–7.54.5–8––

For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.

Last poll before the election: Civey, 12 May 2017

Our analysis

Who came closest before the 2017 election?

Deviation of each pollster's last poll from the result, by party in points. Ranked by mean absolute deviation.

Deviation of the last polls before the election of 14 May 2017 from the result, in percentage points
PollsterPoll datedCDUSPDFDPAfDGrüneLinkePiratenØ abs.
Result 14 May 201733.0%31.2%12.6%7.4%6.4%4.9%1.0%
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen11 May 2017 (3 days before)-1.0-0.2+0.9-0.9+0.1+1.1–0.7
Civey12 May 2017 (2 days before)-1.4+1.3±0-1.0±0+0.8–0.8
Infratest dimap4 May 2017 (10 days before)-2.0+0.8+0.4+0.6+0.6+0.1–0.8
INSA9 May 2017 (5 days before)-3.0+1.8+0.4-0.4+0.6+0.1–1.1
Forsa28 Apr 2017 (16 days before)-4.0+3.8-0.6-0.4-0.4+1.1–1.7
YouGov11 May 2017 (3 days before)-2.0-1.2-3.6+1.6+0.6+3.1+1.01.9

Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.

Accuracy of all pollsters since 2017

More

More elections and polls

Table as CSV

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