INSA poll of 9 May 2017 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 8 May 2017
- Respondents
- 1,139
- Method
- Unbekannt
- SPD33.0%-4.0
- CDU30.0%+2.0
- FDP13.0%+3.0
- Grüne7.0%+1.0
- AfD7.0%-3.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Apr 2017.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU on 30.0%. 1,139 people were surveyed from 3 to 8 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Apr 2017, SPD loses 4.0 points, FDP gains 3.0 points, AfD loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 2.4 points higher and SPD 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.4average 10.6
- SPD -1.8average 34.8
- AfD -1.1average 8.1
- Linke -0.9average 5.9
- Grüne +0.5average 6.5
- CDU +0.3average 29.7
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD63
- CDU57
- FDP25
- Grüne13
- AfD13
- Linke10
- SPD + CDU120 of 181
- SPD + FDP + Grüne101 of 181
- SPD + FDP + AfD101 of 181
- SPD + FDP + Linke98 of 181
- CDU + FDP + Grüne95 of 181
- CDU + FDP + AfD95 of 181
- CDU + FDP + Linke92 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.