Single poll

INSA poll of 11 April 2017 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
30 Mar 2017 to 4 Apr 2017
Respondents
1,000
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD37.0%-1.0
  • CDU28.0%+1.0
  • FDP10.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • Grüne6.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.0%+1.0
  • Others4.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Mar 2017.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 37.0%, followed by CDU on 28.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 30 Mar 2017 to 4 Apr 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Mar 2017, SPD loses 1.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Apr 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -2.0average 30.0
  • AfD +1.4average 8.6
  • FDP +1.1average 8.9
  • Grüne -0.7average 6.7
  • SPD ±0average 37.0
  • Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 70 seatsCDU: 53 seatsFDP: 19 seatsAfD: 19 seatsGrüne: 11 seatsLinke: 9 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • SPD70
  • CDU53
  • FDP19
  • AfD19
  • Grüne11
  • Linke9
  • SPD + CDU123 of 181
  • SPD + FDP + AfD108 of 181
  • SPD + FDP + Grüne100 of 181
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne100 of 181
  • SPD + FDP + Linke98 of 181
  • SPD + AfD + Linke98 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + AfD91 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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