Single poll

INSA poll of 5 March 2017 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
22 Feb 2017 to 3 Mar 2017
Respondents
1,199
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD38.0%
  • CDU27.0%
  • AfD11.0%
  • FDP10.0%
  • Grüne7.0%
  • Linke4.0%
  • Others3.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 38.0%, followed by CDU on 27.0%. 1,199 people were surveyed from 22 Feb 2017 to 3 Mar 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 4.3 points lower and FDP 2.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Mar 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -4.3average 31.3
  • FDP +2.5average 7.5
  • SPD +2.0average 36.0
  • AfD +1.6average 9.4
  • Linke -1.4average 5.4
  • Grüne -0.3average 7.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 74 seatsCDU: 53 seatsAfD: 21 seatsFDP: 19 seatsGrüne: 14 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • SPD74
  • CDU53
  • AfD21
  • FDP19
  • Grüne14
  • SPD + CDU127 of 181
  • SPD + AfD95 of 181
  • SPD + FDP93 of 181
  • CDU + AfD + FDP93 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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