Single poll
Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 2 May 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- State
- North Rhine-Westphalia
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 1 May 2022
- Respondents
- 1,853
- Method
- Online
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 31.0%, followed by CDU on 30.5%. 1,853 people were surveyed from 1 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 Apr 2022, FDP gains 2.5 points, Grüne gains 1.5 points, AfD loses 1.5 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -0.8average 6.8
- SPD +0.7average 30.3
- CDU +0.7average 29.8
- Linke -0.3average 2.8
- Grüne +0.2average 16.3
- FDP +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD60
- CDU59
- Grüne32
- FDP18
- AfD12
- SPD + CDU119 of 181
- SPD + Grüne92 of 181
- CDU + Grüne91 of 181
More
More polls
← Institut Wahlkreisprognose, 22 Apr 2022Institut Wahlkreisprognose, 6 May 2022 →Average of all pollsters: North Rhine-WestphaliaSunday question North Rhine-Westphalia2025 federal election in North Rhine-WestphaliaChronicle 2022
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.