Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 April 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 22 Apr 2022
- Respondents
- 1,445
- Method
- Online
- SPD31.5%-1.5
- CDU31.0%+3.5
- Grüne15.0%-2.5
- AfD7.5%+1.5
- FDP6.5%-1.0
- Linke2.5%-0.5
- Others6.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 9 Apr 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 31.5%, followed by CDU on 31.0%. 1,445 people were surveyed from 20 to 22 Apr 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 9 Apr 2022, CDU gains 3.5 points, Grüne loses 2.5 points, SPD loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has FDP 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -2.3average 8.8
- SPD +1.2average 30.3
- CDU +1.2average 29.8
- Grüne -1.0average 16.0
- AfD +0.7average 6.8
- Linke -0.5average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD62
- CDU61
- Grüne30
- AfD15
- FDP13
- SPD + CDU123 of 181
- SPD + Grüne92 of 181
- CDU + Grüne91 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.