Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 9 April 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 9 Apr 2022
- Respondents
- 1,230
- Method
- Online
- SPD33.0%+2.0
- CDU27.5%-3.0
- Grüne17.5%+2.0
- FDP7.5%-2.0
- AfD6.0%+0.5
- Linke3.0%+0.5
- Others5.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 14 Mar 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU on 27.5%. 1,230 people were surveyed from 8 to 9 Apr 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 14 Mar 2022, CDU loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 4.0 points higher and CDU 2.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +4.0average 29.0
- CDU -2.8average 30.3
- Grüne +1.8average 15.7
- FDP -1.2average 8.7
- AfD -0.7average 6.7
- Linke -0.7average 3.7
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD65
- CDU54
- Grüne35
- FDP15
- AfD12
- SPD + CDU119 of 181
- SPD + Grüne100 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + FDP104 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + AfD101 of 181
- SPD + FDP + AfD92 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.