Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 14 March 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 13 Mar 2022
- Respondents
- 1,100
- Method
- Online
- SPD31.0%+1.0
- CDU30.5%+1.5
- Grüne15.5%+2.0
- FDP9.5%-0.5
- AfD5.5%-2.5
- Linke2.5%-1.5
- Others5.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 Feb 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 31.0%, followed by CDU on 30.5%. 1,100 people were surveyed from 11 to 13 Mar 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 Feb 2022, AfD loses 2.5 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 3.0 points higher and CDU 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.0average 28.0
- CDU +2.5average 28.0
- AfD -2.2average 7.7
- Linke -1.2average 3.7
- Grüne -0.8average 16.3
- FDP -0.8average 10.3
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD61
- CDU60
- Grüne30
- FDP19
- AfD11
- SPD + CDU121 of 181
- SPD + Grüne91 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + FDP109 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + AfD101 of 181
- SPD + FDP + AfD91 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.