Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 February 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 17 Feb 2022
- Respondents
- 1,874
- Method
- Online
- SPD30.0%+3.0
- CDU29.0%-1.0
- Grüne13.5%±0
- FDP10.0%-1.0
- AfD8.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others5.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 Jan 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 29.0%. 1,874 people were surveyed from 13 to 17 Feb 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 Jan 2022, SPD gains 3.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 2.8 points lower and SPD 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.8average 16.3
- SPD +2.3average 27.7
- CDU +1.3average 27.7
- FDP -0.3average 10.3
- AfD +0.3average 7.7
- Linke +0.3average 3.7
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD60
- CDU58
- Grüne27
- FDP20
- AfD16
- SPD + CDU118 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + FDP107 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + FDP105 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD103 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + AfD101 of 181
- SPD + FDP + AfD96 of 181
- CDU + FDP + AfD94 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.