Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 January 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 20 Jan 2022
- Respondents
- 1,230
- Method
- Online
- CDU30.0%+1.0
- SPD27.0%-1.0
- Grüne13.5%-1.5
- FDP11.0%-1.0
- AfD9.0%+2.0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- Others5.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 Dec 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 1,230 people were surveyed from 19 to 20 Jan 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 Dec 2021, AfD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.5 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 7.0 points higher and SPD 3.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +7.0average 23.0
- SPD -3.3average 30.3
- FDP -2.3average 13.3
- Grüne -2.2average 15.7
- AfD +1.7average 7.3
- Linke +0.3average 3.7
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU60
- SPD54
- Grüne27
- FDP22
- AfD18
- CDU + SPD114 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + FDP109 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + AfD105 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + FDP103 of 181
- CDU + FDP + AfD100 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD99 of 181
- SPD + FDP + AfD94 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.