Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 December 2021 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 20 Dec 2021
- Respondents
- 1,210
- Method
- Online
- CDU29.0%+4.0
- SPD28.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- FDP12.0%-1.5
- AfD7.0%-1.5
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 Nov 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 28.0%. 1,210 people were surveyed from 12 to 20 Dec 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 Nov 2021, CDU gains 4.0 points, FDP loses 1.5 points, AfD loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 6.0 points higher and SPD 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +6.0average 23.0
- SPD -2.3average 30.3
- FDP -1.3average 13.3
- Grüne -0.7average 15.7
- Linke -0.7average 3.7
- AfD -0.3average 7.3
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU57
- SPD56
- Grüne30
- FDP24
- AfD14
- CDU + SPD113 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + FDP111 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + FDP110 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + AfD101 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD100 of 181
- CDU + FDP + AfD95 of 181
- SPD + FDP + AfD94 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.