Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 November 2021 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- State
- North Rhine-Westphalia
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 28 Nov 2021
- Respondents
- 1,400
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU on 25.0%. 1,400 people were surveyed from 24 to 28 Nov 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 31 Oct 2021, AfD gains 3.5 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 4.0 points lower and CDU 4.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -4.0average 32.0
- CDU +4.0average 21.0
- Grüne +1.0average 15.0
- AfD +1.0average 7.5
- FDP -0.5average 14.0
- Linke +0.5average 3.5
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD55
- CDU50
- Grüne32
- FDP27
- AfD17
- SPD + CDU105 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + FDP114 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + FDP109 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD104 of 181
- SPD + FDP + AfD99 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + AfD99 of 181
- CDU + FDP + AfD94 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.