Single poll
Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 31 October 2021 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- State
- North Rhine-Westphalia
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 31 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 1,009
- Method
- Online
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 27.0%. 1,009 people were surveyed from 26 to 31 Oct 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 6.0 points higher and AfD 2.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +6.0average 21.0
- AfD -2.5average 7.5
- SPD -2.0average 32.0
- Grüne +1.0average 15.0
- Linke -0.5average 3.5
- FDP ±0average 14.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD59
- CDU53
- Grüne31
- FDP28
- AfD10
- SPD + CDU112 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + FDP118 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + FDP112 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD100 of 181
- SPD + FDP + AfD97 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + AfD94 of 181
- CDU + FDP + AfD91 of 181
More
More polls
Institut Wahlkreisprognose, 28 Nov 2021 →Average of all pollsters: North Rhine-WestphaliaSunday question North Rhine-Westphalia2025 federal election in North Rhine-WestphaliaChronicle 2021
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.