Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 6 May 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 6 May 2022
- Respondents
- 2,127
- Method
- Online
- CDU30.0%-0.5
- SPD29.5%-1.5
- Grüne16.5%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- AfD7.0%+1.0
- Linke2.5%±0
- Others5.5%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 2 May 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 29.5%. 2,127 people were surveyed from 5 to 6 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 2 May 2022, SPD loses 1.5 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +0.8average 8.2
- SPD +0.5average 29.0
- Linke -0.5average 3.0
- Grüne +0.1average 16.4
- CDU ±0average 30.0
- AfD ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU59
- SPD58
- Grüne32
- FDP18
- AfD14
- CDU + SPD117 of 181
- CDU + Grüne91 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + FDP108 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD104 of 181
- CDU + FDP + AfD91 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.