Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 May 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 13 May 2022
- Respondents
- 1,652
- Method
- Online
- CDU33.0%+3.0
- SPD28.5%-1.0
- Grüne16.5%±0
- AfD6.5%-0.5
- FDP6.0%-3.0
- Linke3.0%+0.5
- Others6.5%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 6 May 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 28.5%. 1,652 people were surveyed from 12 to 13 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 6 May 2022, CDU gains 3.0 points, FDP loses 3.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has FDP 1.7 points lower and CDU 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.7average 7.7
- CDU +1.5average 31.5
- AfD -0.5average 7.0
- Grüne +0.3average 16.2
- SPD +0.2average 28.3
- Linke -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU66
- SPD57
- Grüne33
- AfD13
- FDP12
- CDU + SPD123 of 181
- CDU + Grüne99 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD103 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + FDP102 of 181
- CDU + AfD + FDP91 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.