Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 1 July 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 30 Jun 2022
- Respondents
- 1,040
- Method
- Online
- CDU37.0%+4.0
- SPD27.5%-1.0
- Grüne15.5%-1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- AfD6.0%-0.5
- Linke2.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 May 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 27.5%. 1,040 people were surveyed from 27 to 30 Jun 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 May 2022, CDU gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 5.5 points higher and FDP 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +5.5average 31.5
- FDP -1.7average 7.7
- Linke -1.2average 3.2
- AfD -1.0average 7.0
- SPD -0.8average 28.3
- Grüne -0.7average 16.2
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU73
- SPD54
- Grüne30
- FDP12
- AfD12
- CDU + SPD127 of 181
- CDU + Grüne103 of 181
- CDU + FDP + AfD97 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + FDP96 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD96 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.