Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 12 November 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 11 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 1,400
- Method
- Online
- CDU31.0%-6.0
- SPD24.5%-3.0
- Grüne19.0%+3.5
- AfD12.5%+6.5
- FDP5.5%-0.5
- Linke1.5%-0.5
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 1 Jul 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 24.5%. 1,400 people were surveyed from 7 to 11 Nov 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 1 Jul 2022, AfD gains 6.5 points, CDU loses 6.0 points, Grüne gains 3.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 4.8 points higher and CDU 3.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +4.8average 7.7
- CDU -3.7average 34.7
- SPD +2.5average 22.0
- Grüne -2.0average 21.0
- Linke -1.5average 3.0
- FDP -0.2average 5.7
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU61
- SPD48
- Grüne37
- AfD24
- FDP11
- CDU + SPD109 of 181
- CDU + Grüne98 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD109 of 181
- CDU + AfD + FDP96 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + FDP96 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.