Pollster and election
pollytix on the federal election
14 polls since 5 April 2018, the latest from 16 September 2026 for Campact. Against the current average of all pollsters, pollytix has BSW +1.6 and CDU/CSU -1.3. House effect since 22 Sep 2025: SPD +1.5, Grüne -1.0, CDU/CSU -0.9.
- AfD27.0%-2.0
- CDU/CSU19.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%+1.0
- Linke12.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- BSW5.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%±0
27.0%
-2.0
AfD
19.0%
-1.0
CDU/CSU
14.0%
±0
SPD
14.0%
+1.0
Grüne
12.0%
+1.0
Linke
5.0%
±0
FDP
5.0%
+1.0
BSW
4.0%
±0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the pollytix poll of 8 Sep 2026.
Trend
All pollytix figures for the federal election
Accuracy
pollytix before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 23 Feb 2025 (poll 12 Feb 2025)1.2 ptsbiggest miss Linke -2.8
Archive
All 14 polls
| Pollster | Published | AfD | CDU/CSU | SPD | Grüne | Linke | FDP | BSW | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pollytix | 16 Sep 2026 | 27 | 19 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| pollytix | 8 Sep 2026 | 29 | 20 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| pollytix | 21 Aug 2026 | 28 | 20 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| pollytix | 24 Jun 2026 | 28 | 21 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| pollytix | 14 Jan 2026 | 26 | 25 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| pollytix | 3 Dec 2025 | 26 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| pollytix | 3 Sep 2025 | 25 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| pollytix | 3 Jun 2025 | 23 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| pollytix | 16 May 2025 | 25 | 27 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| pollytix | 12 Feb 2025 | 19 | 29 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| pollytix | 7 Feb 2025 | 20 | 30 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| pollytix | 26 Jan 2024 | 22 | 29 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| pollytix | 9 Feb 2022 | 12 | 27 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 9 | – | 6 |
| pollytix | 5 Apr 2018 | 15 | 30 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 10 | – | 5 |