Single poll

pollytix poll of 9 February 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
pollytix
Fieldwork period
4 to 8 Feb 2022
Respondents
1,547
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%-3.0
  • SPD23.0%+4.0
  • Grüne15.0%+5.0
  • AfD12.0%-3.0
  • FDP9.0%-1.0
  • Linke8.0%-3.0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous pollytix poll of 5 Apr 2018.

In this poll pollytix has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,547 people were surveyed from 4 to 8 Feb 2022, method Online, commissioned by pollytix.

Compared with the previous pollytix poll of 5 Apr 2018, Grüne gains 5.0 points, SPD gains 4.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, pollytix has CDU/CSU 1.8 points higher and Linke 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.8average 25.2
  • Linke +1.8average 6.2
  • Grüne -1.1average 16.1
  • AfD +1.1average 10.9
  • SPD -0.9average 23.9
  • FDP -0.9average 9.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 181 seatsSPD: 154 seatsGrüne: 101 seatsAfD: 80 seatsFDP: 60 seatsLinke: 54 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU181
  • SPD154
  • Grüne101
  • AfD80
  • FDP60
  • Linke54
  • CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke336 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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