Single poll
pollytix poll of 14 January 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- pollytix
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 13 Jan 2026
- Respondents
- 1,573
- Method
- Online
In this poll pollytix has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,573 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Jan 2026, method Online, commissioned by pollytix.
Compared with the previous pollytix poll of 3 Dec 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Jan 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.4average 3.6
- SPD +0.7average 14.3
- BSW -0.5average 3.5
- AfD +0.4average 25.6
- Grüne -0.3average 12.3
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 25.2
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD176
- CDU/CSU169
- SPD102
- Grüne81
- Linke68
- FDP34
- AfD + CDU/CSU345 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne352 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More
More polls
← pollytix, 3 Dec 2025pollytix, 24 Jun 2026 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.