Single poll

pollytix poll of 3 December 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
pollytix
Fieldwork period
26 Nov 2025 to 2 Dec 2025
Respondents
3,020
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
  • AfD26.0%+1.0
  • SPD15.0%-1.0
  • Grüne11.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%-1.0
  • Others4.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous pollytix poll of 3 Sep 2025.

In this poll pollytix has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 26.0%. 3,020 people were surveyed from 26 Nov 2025 to 2 Dec 2025, method Online, commissioned by pollytix.

Compared with the previous pollytix poll of 3 Sep 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Dec 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -0.7average 11.7
  • SPD +0.6average 14.4
  • FDP +0.6average 3.4
  • BSW +0.5average 3.5
  • Linke -0.4average 10.4
  • CDU/CSU +0.2average 25.8
  • AfD +0.2average 25.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 186 seatsAfD: 186 seatsSPD: 107 seatsGrüne: 79 seatsLinke: 72 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU186
  • AfD186
  • SPD107
  • Grüne79
  • Linke72
  • CDU/CSU + AfD372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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