pollytix poll of 24 June 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- pollytix
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 17 Jun 2026
- Respondents
- 2,040
- Method
- Online
- AfD28.0%+2.0
- CDU/CSU21.0%-4.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- Grüne13.0%+1.0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- BSW4.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous pollytix poll of 14 Jan 2026.
In this poll pollytix has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 2,040 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 Jun 2026, method Online, commissioned by pollytix.
Compared with the previous pollytix poll of 14 Jan 2026, CDU/CSU loses 4.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, pollytix has CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower and SPD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 22.6
- SPD +1.6average 12.4
- BSW +1.1average 2.9
- Grüne -1.0average 14.0
- FDP +0.6average 4.4
- AfD +0.3average 27.7
- Linke +0.2average 10.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD192
- CDU/CSU144
- SPD96
- Grüne89
- Linke75
- FDP34
- AfD + CDU/CSU336 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne377 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke363 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne329 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.