pollytix poll of 21 August 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- pollytix
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 17 Aug 2026
- Respondents
- 1,276
- Method
- Online
- AfD28.0%±0
- CDU/CSU20.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous pollytix poll of 24 Jun 2026.
In this poll pollytix has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,276 people were surveyed from 12 to 17 Aug 2026, method Online, commissioned by pollytix.
Compared with the previous pollytix poll of 24 Jun 2026, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, pollytix has SPD 2.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Aug 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.9average 12.1
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 21.3
- Grüne -1.3average 14.3
- BSW +1.2average 2.8
- Linke -0.7average 11.7
- FDP +0.3average 4.7
- AfD +0.2average 27.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD192
- CDU/CSU137
- SPD103
- Grüne89
- Linke75
- FDP34
- AfD + CDU/CSU329 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne384 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke370 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke356 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.