Single poll

pollytix poll of 8 September 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
pollytix
Fieldwork period
27 Aug 2026 to 3 Sep 2026
Respondents
3,023
Method
Online
  • AfD29.0%+1.0
  • CDU/CSU20.0%±0
  • SPD14.0%-1.0
  • Grüne13.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous pollytix poll of 21 Aug 2026.

In this poll pollytix has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 3,023 people were surveyed from 27 Aug 2026 to 3 Sep 2026, method Online, commissioned by pollytix.

Compared with the previous pollytix poll of 21 Aug 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, pollytix has Grüne 1.6 points lower and SPD 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -1.6average 14.6
  • SPD +1.5average 12.5
  • AfD +1.4average 27.6
  • BSW +1.0average 3.0
  • CDU/CSU -0.9average 20.9
  • Linke -0.6average 11.6
  • FDP +0.5average 4.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 199 seatsCDU/CSU: 137 seatsSPD: 96 seatsGrüne: 89 seatsLinke: 75 seatsFDP: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD199
  • CDU/CSU137
  • SPD96
  • Grüne89
  • Linke75
  • FDP34
  • AfD + CDU/CSU336 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne384 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke370 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke363 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + FDP329 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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