pollytix poll of 16 September 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Campact
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 16 Sep 2026
- Respondents
- 3,113
- Method
- Online
- AfD27.0%-2.0
- CDU/CSU19.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%+1.0
- Linke12.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- BSW5.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous pollytix poll of 8 Sep 2026.
In this poll pollytix has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 19.0%. 3,113 people were surveyed from 14 to 16 Sep 2026, method Online, commissioned by Campact.
Compared with the previous pollytix poll of 8 Sep 2026, AfD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, pollytix has BSW 2.0 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +2.0average 3.0
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 20.6
- SPD +1.6average 12.4
- AfD -1.1average 28.1
- Grüne -0.8average 14.8
- Linke +0.7average 11.3
- FDP +0.6average 4.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD177
- CDU/CSU124
- SPD92
- Grüne92
- Linke79
- FDP33
- BSW33
- AfD + CDU/CSU + SPD393 of 630
- AfD + CDU/CSU + Grüne393 of 630
- AfD + CDU/CSU + Linke380 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne361 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke348 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
- AfD + CDU/CSU + FDP334 of 630
- AfD + CDU/CSU + BSW334 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.