pollytix poll of 20 October 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- pollytix
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 19 Oct 2026
- Respondents
- 1,300
- Method
- Online
In this poll pollytix has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 18.0%. 1,300 people were surveyed from 16 to 19 Oct 2026, method Online, commissioned by pollytix.
Compared with the previous pollytix poll of 16 Sep 2026, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, pollytix has CDU/CSU 1.8 points lower and SPD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Oct 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.8average 19.8
- SPD +1.8average 13.2
- Grüne -1.2average 15.2
- AfD +1.0average 28.0
- FDP +1.0average 4.0
- BSW +0.8average 3.2
- Linke -0.1average 11.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD199
- CDU/CSU123
- SPD103
- Grüne96
- Linke75
- FDP34
- AfD + CDU/CSU322 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne398 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke377 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke370 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP336 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.