Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election 2021: the result
In the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election on 26 September 2021, SPD became the largest party with 39.6%, 22.9 points ahead of AfD (16.7%).
- Failed to clear the thresholdNPD (0.8%), Piraten (0.4%)
- Polls one week beforeoff by 0.4 points per party on average, Linke overestimated by 0.9
- Statusofficial final result
Result of the 2021 state election
Shares in percent. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.
- SPD39.6%
- AfD16.7%
- CDU13.3%
- Linke9.9%
- Grüne6.3%
- FDP5.8%
- NPD0.8%
- Piraten0.4%
- Others7.2%
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
| Party | 2021 | Seats (projected) |
|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 39.6% | 31 |
| Alternative für Deutschland | 16.7% | 13 |
| Christlich Demokratische Union | 13.3% | 10 |
| Die Linke | 9.9% | 8 |
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | 6.3% | 5 |
| Freie Demokratische Partei | 5.8% | 4 |
| Nationaldemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 0.8% | – |
| Piratenpartei | 0.4% | – |
| Others | 7.2% | – |
Source: state returning officer, compiled via wahlrecht.de. Seats projected by Hare/Niemeyer on 71 regular seats, without overhang and compensatory seats. JSON · CSV
Seat distribution in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania after the 2021 result
71 regular seats by Hare/Niemeyer. Electoral threshold of 5%. The actual size of the parliament may differ due to overhang and compensatory seats.
- SPD31
- AfD13
- CDU10
- Linke8
- Grüne5
- FDP4
Which alliances had a majority after the 2021 election
All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority.
- SPD + AfD44 of 71
- SPD + CDU41 of 71
- SPD + Linke39 of 71
- SPD + Grüne36 of 71
The polls in the last 30 days before the 2021 state election
9 polls between 9 Sep 2021 and 24 Sep 2021, each one available individually.
| Pollster | Published | SPD | AfD | CDU | Linke | Grüne | FDP | NPD | Piraten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 24 Sep 2021 | 40 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 5 | – | – |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 24 Sep 2021 | 40 | 16 | 13.5 | 10 | 6 | 5 | – | – |
| Civey | 23 Sep 2021 | 39 | 18 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 8 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23 Sep 2021 | 39 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 5.5 | – | – |
| Infratest dimap | 17 Sep 2021 | 40 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 5 | – | – |
| INSA | 17 Sep 2021 | 40 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 6 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17 Sep 2021 | 38 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 6 | – | – |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 10 Sep 2021 | 39 | 18 | 13 | 11 | 5.5 | 6 | – | – |
| Infratest dimap | 9 Sep 2021 | 39 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 7 | – | – |
Who came closest before the 2021 election?
Deviation of each pollster's last poll from the result, by party in points. Ranked by mean absolute deviation.
| Pollster | Poll dated | SPD | AfD | CDU | Linke | Grüne | FDP | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result 26 Sep 2021 | 39.6% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 24 Sep 2021 (2 days before) | +0.4 | -0.7 | +0.2 | +0.1 | -0.3 | -0.8 | 0.4 |
| INSA | 24 Sep 2021 (2 days before) | +0.4 | +0.3 | -0.3 | +1.1 | +0.7 | -0.8 | 0.6 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23 Sep 2021 (3 days before) | -0.6 | -0.7 | +0.7 | +1.1 | +0.7 | -0.3 | 0.7 |
| Infratest dimap | 17 Sep 2021 (9 days before) | +0.4 | -1.7 | +1.7 | +0.1 | -0.3 | -0.8 | 0.8 |
| Civey | 23 Sep 2021 (3 days before) | -0.6 | +1.3 | -0.3 | +1.1 | -1.3 | +2.2 | 1.1 |
Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.