Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election 2021: the result
In the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election on 26 September 2021, SPD became the largest party with 39.6%, 22.9 points ahead of AfD (16.7%).
- Failed to clear the threshold
- NPD (0.8%), Piraten (0.4%)
- Polls one week before
- off by 0.4 points per party on average, Linke overestimated by 0.9
- Turnout
- 70.8%
- Status
- official final result
Result of the 2021 state election
Turnout in the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election on 26 September 2021 was 70.8%. The Landtag of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania has 79 seats; a majority needs 40.
Shares in percent. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.
| Party | Votes 2021 (%) | Seats |
|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 39.6% | 34 |
| Alternative für Deutschland | 16.7% | 14 |
| Christlich Demokratische Union | 13.3% | 12 |
| Die Linke | 9.9% | 9 |
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | 6.3% | 5 |
| Freie Demokratische Partei | 5.8% | 5 |
| Nationaldemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 0.8% | – |
| Piratenpartei | 0.4% | – |
| Others | 7.2% | – |
Source: state returning officer, compiled via wahlrecht.de. Official seats, 79 in total including overhang and compensatory seats. JSON · CSV
Seat distribution in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania after the 2021 result
79 seats by the official result, including overhang and compensatory seats. Electoral threshold of 5%.
- SPD34
- AfD14
- CDU12
- Linke9
- FDP5
- Grüne5
Which alliances had a majority after the 2021 election
All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority.
- SPD + AfD48 of 79
- SPD + CDU46 of 79
- SPD + Linke43 of 79
- SPD + FDP + Grüne44 of 79
The polls in the last 30 days before the 2021 state election
9 polls between 9 Sep 2021 and 24 Sep 2021, each one available individually.
| Pollster | Published | SPD | AfD | CDU | Linke | Grüne | FDP | NPD | Piraten | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 24 Sep 2021 | 40 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 5 | – | – | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 24 Sep 2021 | 40 | 16 | 13.5 | 10 | 6 | 5 | – | – | ||
| Civey | 23 Sep 2021 | 39 | 18 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 8 | – | – | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23 Sep 2021 | 39 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 5.5 | – | – | ||
| Infratest dimap | 17 Sep 2021 | 40 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 5 | – | – | ||
| INSA | 17 Sep 2021 | 40 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 6 | – | – | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17 Sep 2021 | 38 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 6 | – | – | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 10 Sep 2021 | 39 | 18 | 13 | 11 | 5.5 | 6 | – | – | ||
| Infratest dimap | 9 Sep 2021 | 39 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 7 | – | – | ||
| Min – Max | 38–40 | 15–18 | 12–15 | 10–11 | 5–7 | 5–8 | – | – | |||
For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.
Who came closest before the 2021 election?
Deviation of each pollster's last poll from the result, by party in points. Ranked by mean absolute deviation.
| Pollster | Poll dated | SPD | AfD | CDU | Linke | Grüne | FDP | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result 26 Sep 2021 | 39.6% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 24 Sep 2021 (2 days before) | +0.4 | -0.7 | +0.2 | +0.1 | -0.3 | -0.8 | 0.4 |
| INSA | 24 Sep 2021 (2 days before) | +0.4 | +0.3 | -0.3 | +1.1 | +0.7 | -0.8 | 0.6 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23 Sep 2021 (3 days before) | -0.6 | -0.7 | +0.7 | +1.1 | +0.7 | -0.3 | 0.7 |
| Infratest dimap | 17 Sep 2021 (9 days before) | +0.4 | -1.7 | +1.7 | +0.1 | -0.3 | -0.8 | 0.8 |
| Civey | 23 Sep 2021 (3 days before) | -0.6 | +1.3 | -0.3 | +1.1 | -1.3 | +2.2 | 1.1 |
Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.