Single poll

Civey poll of 23 September 2021 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
Der Tagesspiegel
Fieldwork period
16 to 23 Sep 2021
Respondents
1,001
Method
Online
  • SPD39.0%
  • AfD18.0%
  • CDU13.0%
  • Linke11.0%
  • FDP8.0%
  • Grüne5.0%
  • Others6.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 39.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 16 to 23 Sep 2021, method Online, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has FDP 2.4 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +2.4average 5.6
  • Grüne -1.4average 6.4
  • AfD +1.2average 16.8
  • SPD -0.5average 39.5
  • CDU -0.5average 13.5
  • Linke +0.2average 10.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 29 seatsAfD: 14 seatsCDU: 10 seatsLinke: 8 seatsFDP: 6 seatsGrüne: 4 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • SPD29
  • AfD14
  • CDU10
  • Linke8
  • FDP6
  • Grüne4
  • SPD + AfD43 of 71
  • SPD + CDU39 of 71
  • SPD + Linke37 of 71
  • SPD + FDP + Grüne39 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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