Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election 2026: the result
In the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election on 20 September 2026, AfD became the largest party with 38.2%, 2.7 points ahead of SPD (35.5%). SPD and Linke have governed since then; how the alliance stands in the polls today is shown on the page with the current election polls.
- Biggest move since 2021
- AfD +21.5 · CDU −8.4 · FDP −4.8
- Failed to clear the threshold
- CDU (4.9%), BSW (4.8%), FDP (1.0%)
- Government
- SPD + Linke: 34 of 71 seats (projected)
- Polls one week before
- off by 2.2 points per party on average, Linke overestimated by 4.1
- Status
- official final result
Result of the 2026 state election
Projected 71 regular seats, majority from 36.
Shares in percent, change on the election of 26 Sep 2021 in points. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.
| Party | Votes 2026 (%) | 2021 (%) | Change | Seats (projected) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternative für Deutschland | 38.2% | 16.7% | +21.5 | 32 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 35.5% | 39.6% | -4.1 | 29 |
| Die Linke | 6.5% | 9.9% | -3.4 | 5 |
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | 5.7% | 6.3% | -0.6 | 5 |
| Christlich Demokratische Union | 4.9% | 13.3% | -8.4 | – |
| Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht | 4.8% | – | new | – |
| Freie Demokratische Partei | 1.0% | 5.8% | -4.8 | – |
| Others | 3.5% | 8.4% | -4.9 | – |
Source: state returning officer, compiled via wahlrecht.de. Seats projected by Hare/Niemeyer on 71 regular seats, without overhang and compensatory seats. JSON · CSV
Seat distribution in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania after the 2026 result
71 regular seats by Hare/Niemeyer. Electoral threshold of 5%. The actual size of the parliament may differ due to overhang and compensatory seats.
- AfD32
- SPD29
- Grüne5
- Linke5
Which alliances had a majority after the 2026 election
All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority; the coalition actually formed is highlighted.
- SPD + LinkeGovernment, no majority34 of 71
- AfD + SPD61 of 71
- AfD + Grüne37 of 71
- AfD + Linke37 of 71
- SPD + Grüne + Linke39 of 71
The polls in the last 30 days before the 2026 state election
8 polls between 2 Sep 2026 and 17 Sep 2026, each one available individually.
| Pollster | Published | AfD | SPD | Linke | Grüne | CDU | BSW | FDP | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17 Sep 2026 | 36 | 37 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 4 | – | ||
| INSA | 16 Sep 2026 | 37 | 35 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 3 | – | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11 Sep 2026 | 37 | 34 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 4 | – | ||
| pollytix | 10 Sep 2026 | 36 | 30 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 10 Sep 2026 | 38 | 33 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 4 | – | ||
| INSA | 10 Sep 2026 | 36 | 33 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 4 | – | ||
| Infratest dimap | 3 Sep 2026 | 35 | 32 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 4 | – | ||
| Forsa | 2 Sep 2026 | 37 | 28 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 4 | – | ||
| Min – Max | 35–38 | 28–37 | 9–12 | 5–6 | 6–10 | 3–5 | – | |||
For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.
Last poll before the election: Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 17 Sep 2026
Who came closest before the 2026 election?
Deviation of each pollster's last poll from the result, by party in points. Ranked by mean absolute deviation.
| Pollster | Poll dated | AfD | SPD | Linke | Grüne | CDU | BSW | FDP | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result 20 Sep 2026 | 38.2% | 35.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 1.0% | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17 Sep 2026 (3 days before) | -2.2 | +1.5 | +2.5 | -0.7 | +1.1 | -0.8 | – | 1.5 |
| Infratest dimap | 10 Sep 2026 (10 days before) | -0.2 | -2.5 | +2.5 | -0.7 | +2.1 | -0.8 | – | 1.5 |
| INSA | 16 Sep 2026 (4 days before) | -1.2 | -0.5 | +3.5 | -0.7 | +2.1 | -1.8 | – | 1.6 |
| pollytix | 10 Sep 2026 (10 days before) | -2.2 | -5.5 | +5.5 | +0.3 | +1.1 | +0.2 | +1.0 | 2.3 |
| Forsa | 2 Sep 2026 (18 days before) | -1.2 | -7.5 | +4.5 | -0.7 | +5.1 | -0.8 | – | 3.3 |
Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.