Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election 2026: the result
In the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election on 20 September 2026, AfD became the largest party with 38.2%, 2.7 points ahead of SPD (35.5%). Preliminary result from the state returning officer; the official final result will be added.
- Biggest move since 2021AfD +21.5 · CDU −8.4 · FDP −4.8
- Failed to clear the thresholdCDU (4.9%), BSW (4.8%), FDP (1.0%)
- Polls one week beforeoff by 2.2 points per party on average, Linke overestimated by 4.1
- Statuspreliminary result
Result of the 2026 state election
Shares in percent, change on the election of 26 Sep 2021 in points. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.
- AfD38.2%+21.5
- SPD35.5%-4.1
- Linke6.5%-3.4
- Grüne5.7%-0.6
- CDU4.9%-8.4
- BSW4.8%
- FDP1.0%-4.8
- Others3.5%-4.9
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the 2021 election.
| Party | 2026 | 2021 | Change | Seats (projected) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternative für Deutschland | 38.2% | 16.7% | +21.5 | 32 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 35.5% | 39.6% | -4.1 | 29 |
| Die Linke | 6.5% | 9.9% | -3.4 | 5 |
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | 5.7% | 6.3% | -0.6 | 5 |
| Christlich Demokratische Union | 4.9% | 13.3% | -8.4 | – |
| Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht | 4.8% | – | new | – |
| Freie Demokratische Partei | 1.0% | 5.8% | -4.8 | – |
| Others | 3.5% | 8.4% | -4.9 | – |
Source: state returning officer, compiled via wahlrecht.de. Seats projected by Hare/Niemeyer on 71 regular seats, without overhang and compensatory seats. JSON · CSV
Seat distribution in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania after the 2026 result
71 regular seats by Hare/Niemeyer. Electoral threshold of 5%. The actual size of the parliament may differ due to overhang and compensatory seats.
- AfD32
- SPD29
- Grüne5
- Linke5
Which alliances had a majority after the 2026 election
All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority.
- AfD + SPD61 of 71
- AfD + Grüne37 of 71
- AfD + Linke37 of 71
- SPD + Grüne + Linke39 of 71
The polls in the last 30 days before the 2026 state election
8 polls between 2 Sep 2026 and 17 Sep 2026, each one available individually.
| Pollster | Published | AfD | SPD | Linke | Grüne | CDU | BSW | FDP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17 Sep 2026 | 36 | 37 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 4 | – |
| INSA | 16 Sep 2026 | 37 | 35 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 3 | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11 Sep 2026 | 37 | 34 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 4 | – |
| pollytix | 10 Sep 2026 | 36 | 30 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
| Infratest dimap | 10 Sep 2026 | 38 | 33 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 4 | – |
| INSA | 10 Sep 2026 | 36 | 33 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 4 | – |
| Infratest dimap | 3 Sep 2026 | 35 | 32 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 4 | – |
| Forsa | 2 Sep 2026 | 37 | 28 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 4 | – |
Last poll before the election: Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 17 Sep 2026
Who came closest before the 2026 election?
Deviation of each pollster's last poll from the result, by party in points. Ranked by mean absolute deviation.
| Pollster | Poll dated | AfD | SPD | Linke | Grüne | CDU | BSW | FDP | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result 20 Sep 2026(preliminary) | 38.2% | 35.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 1.0% | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17 Sep 2026 (3 days before) | -2.2 | +1.5 | +2.5 | -0.7 | +1.1 | -0.8 | – | 1.5 |
| Infratest dimap | 10 Sep 2026 (10 days before) | -0.2 | -2.5 | +2.5 | -0.7 | +2.1 | -0.8 | – | 1.5 |
| INSA | 16 Sep 2026 (4 days before) | -1.2 | -0.5 | +3.5 | -0.7 | +2.1 | -1.8 | – | 1.6 |
| pollytix | 10 Sep 2026 (10 days before) | -2.2 | -5.5 | +5.5 | +0.3 | +1.1 | +0.2 | +1.0 | 2.3 |
| Forsa | 2 Sep 2026 (18 days before) | -1.2 | -7.5 | +4.5 | -0.7 | +5.1 | -0.8 | – | 3.3 |
Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.