Thuringia state election 2024: the result
In the Thuringia state election on 1 September 2024, AfD became the largest party with 32.8%, 9.2 points ahead of CDU (23.6%). CDU and BSW and SPD have governed since then; how the alliance stands in the polls today is shown on the page with the current election polls.
- Biggest move since 2019
- Linke −17.9 · AfD +9.4 · FDP −3.9
- Failed to clear the threshold
- Grüne (3.2%), Freie Wähler (1.3%), FDP (1.1%), Piraten (0.3%)
- Government
- CDU + BSW + SPD: 44 of 88 seats
- Polls one week before
- off by 1.3 points per party on average, AfD underestimated by 3.3
- Turnout
- 73.6%
- Status
- official final result
Result of the 2024 state election
Turnout in the Thuringia state election on 1 September 2024 was 73.6%. The Thuringian Landtag has 88 seats; a majority needs 45.
Shares in percent, change on the election of 27 Oct 2019 in points. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.
| Party | Votes 2024 (%) | 2019 (%) | Change | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternative für Deutschland | 32.8% | 23.4% | +9.4 | 32 |
| Christlich Demokratische Union | 23.6% | 21.8% | +1.8 | 23 |
| Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht | 15.8% | – | new | 15 |
| Die Linke | 13.1% | 31.0% | -17.9 | 12 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 6.1% | 8.2% | -2.1 | 6 |
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | 3.2% | 5.2% | -2.0 | – |
| Freie Wähler | 1.3% | – | new | – |
| Freie Demokratische Partei | 1.1% | 5.0% | -3.9 | – |
| Piratenpartei | 0.3% | 0.4% | -0.1 | – |
| Others | 2.7% | 5.0% | -2.3 | – |
Source: state returning officer, compiled via wahlrecht.de. Official seats, 88 in total including overhang and compensatory seats. JSON · CSV
Seat distribution in the Thuringian Landtag after the 2024 result
88 seats by the official result, including overhang and compensatory seats. Electoral threshold of 5%.
- AfD32
- CDU23
- BSW15
- Linke12
- SPD6
Which alliances had a majority after the 2024 election
All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority; the coalition actually formed is highlighted.
- CDU + BSW + SPDGovernment, no majority44 of 88
- AfD + CDU55 of 88
- AfD + BSW47 of 88
- AfD + Linke + SPD50 of 88
- CDU + BSW + Linke50 of 88
The polls in the last 30 days before the 2024 state election
10 polls between 9 Aug 2024 and 31 Aug 2024, each one available individually.
| Pollster | Published | AfD | CDU | BSW | Linke | SPD | Grüne | Freie Wähler | FDP | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 31 Aug 2024 | 31 | 22.5 | 17.5 | 14 | 5 | 2.5 | – | – | ||
| Forsa | 30 Aug 2024 | 30 | 22 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 4 | – | – | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 29 Aug 2024 | 29 | 23 | 18 | 13 | 6 | 4 | – | – | ||
| INSA | 24 Aug 2024 | 30 | 21 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 3 | – | 3 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23 Aug 2024 | 30 | 23 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 4 | – | – | ||
| Infratest dimap | 22 Aug 2024 | 30 | 23 | 17 | 13 | 7 | 3 | – | – | ||
| Forsa | 20 Aug 2024 | 30 | 21 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 4 | – | – | ||
| INSA | 13 Aug 2024 | 30 | 21 | 19 | 16 | 6 | 3 | – | 3 | ||
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 12 Aug 2024 | 27.5 | 23 | 19 | 15.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | – | 2.5 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9 Aug 2024 | 30 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 7 | 3 | – | – | ||
| Min – Max | 27.5–31 | 21–23 | 17–20 | 13–16 | 4.5–7 | 2.5–4 | – | 2.5–3 | |||
For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.
Last poll before the election: Institut Wahlkreisprognose, 31 Aug 2024
Who came closest before the 2024 election?
Deviation of each pollster's last poll from the result, by party in points. Ranked by mean absolute deviation.
| Pollster | Poll dated | AfD | CDU | BSW | Linke | SPD | Grüne | FDP | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result 1 Sep 2024 | 32.8% | 23.6% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | ||
| Infratest dimap | 22 Aug 2024 (10 days before) | -2.8 | -0.6 | +1.2 | -0.1 | +0.9 | -0.2 | – | 1.0 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 31 Aug 2024 (1 day before) | -1.8 | -1.1 | +1.7 | +0.9 | -1.1 | -0.7 | – | 1.2 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 29 Aug 2024 (3 days before) | -3.8 | -0.6 | +2.2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | +0.8 | – | 1.3 |
| Forsa | 30 Aug 2024 (2 days before) | -2.8 | -1.6 | +1.2 | +0.9 | +0.9 | +0.8 | – | 1.4 |
| INSA | 24 Aug 2024 (8 days before) | -2.8 | -2.6 | +4.2 | +0.9 | -0.1 | -0.2 | +1.9 | 1.8 |
Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.